AP3 / Research

The reasoning behind our tools.

The Constraint Index and the Probability Model are built on specific frameworks, not gut feel. Each methodology has its own sheet — open the one you need.

Two planes. 01: seven ascending stages, the Revenue Constraint Index. 02: three outcome blocks of different footprint and height, the Strategic Probability Model. Conceptual.0102
01 the seven-stage Revenue Constraint Index. 02 the Strategic Probability Model. One sheet each.
Methodologies

Two write-ups. Read the one that fits your question.

Diagnosing a revenue system and pricing a strategic bet are different problems, so each tool gets its own page.

Methodology 01≈ 2 min read

Why the Revenue Constraint Index works

How 27 questions across 9 categories become one directional diagnosis — and why the highest-pressure stage is the one to fix before adding spend.

  • 27 questions
  • 9 categories
  • 1 constraint
Read the methodology
Methodology 02≈ 4 min read

The math behind the Strategic Probability Model

Eight weighted factors, an expected-value formula, and a survivability check — the system for judging whether a move is a good bet under uncertainty.

  • 8 weighted factors
  • 1 EV formula
  • 8 outputs
Read the methodology